⚽ FootballData
1 – 0
HHT: 10CSV

12 Jun 2020 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
38.8%
Fuenlabrada
29.5%
Draw
31.7%
Tenerife

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Fuenlabrada

vs
0.99

Tenerife

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.7%
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
11.9%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).