Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
FC Koln
28.0%
Draw
18.5%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
FC Koln
vs
0.81
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
11.3%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).