Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.2%
FC Koln
24.6%
Draw
26.1%
Ilford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
FC Koln
vs
1.05
Ilford
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).