Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.6%
Lyon
20.9%
Draw
22.5%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Lyon
vs
1.13
Lorient
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).