Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.1%
Altrincham
27.6%
Draw
27.3%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Altrincham
vs
1.13
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).