Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Exeter
23.1%
Draw
16.2%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Exeter
vs
0.71
Barrow
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).