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DHT: 11CSV

10 Feb 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.8%
Augsburg
26.8%
Draw
46.4%
RB Leipzig

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Augsburg

vs
1.56

RB Leipzig

Markets

BTTS54.3%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.2%
0-0
7.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).