Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.0%
Wrexham
13.6%
Draw
6.4%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Wrexham
vs
0.53
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.3%
1-0
12.8%
3-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
7.6%
3-1
6.6%
1-1
6.3%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.0%
5-0
3.7%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).