Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.7%
Accrington
26.6%
Draw
39.6%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Accrington
vs
1.26
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).