Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.0%
Preston
29.7%
Draw
42.3%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Preston
vs
1.31
Millwall
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).