Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.0%
Krasnodar
17.5%
Draw
11.5%
Lokomotiv Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64
Krasnodar
vs
1.02
Lokomotiv Moskva
Markets
BTTS60.3%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.549.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.0%
3-0
7.9%
1-1
7.8%
1-0
6.0%
4-1
5.3%
4-0
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-2
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).