Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.2%
Hearts
18.7%
Draw
8.2%
Morton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Hearts
vs
0.72
Morton
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
3-0
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
6.0%
0-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
2-2
3.3%
5-0
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).