Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.1%
Sheffield United
17.5%
Draw
7.4%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Sheffield United
vs
0.60
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.6%
1-0
12.1%
3-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-0
2.9%
0-1
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).