Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Le Havre
24.7%
Draw
28.0%
Saint-Étienne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Le Havre
vs
1.06
Saint-Étienne
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).