Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.1%
Concarneau
21.1%
Draw
59.8%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Concarneau
vs
1.81
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
0-2
11.0%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.8%
1-0
6.9%
0-3
6.6%
1-3
5.9%
0-0
5.9%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).