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15 Mar 2026 · 11:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.4%
Arka Gdynia
28.3%
Draw
34.3%
Widzew Lodz

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Arka Gdynia

vs
1.28

Widzew Lodz

Markets

BTTS54.7%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).