Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.7%
Erzgebirge Aue
19.0%
Draw
69.3%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
2.36
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
1-1
8.9%
0-3
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
5.0%
0-0
4.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).