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15 Aug 2025 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.4%
Fredericia
24.3%
Draw
49.3%
Sønderjyske Fodbold

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Fredericia

vs
1.86

Sønderjyske Fodbold

Markets

BTTS62.7%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.2%
0-1
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
0-0
5.0%
1-0
4.7%
0-3
4.5%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).