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AHT: 00CSV

12 Dec 2020 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.5%
Larisa
27.3%
Draw
41.2%
OFI Crete

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Larisa

vs
1.51

OFI Crete

Markets

BTTS57.5%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
0-0
7.2%
0-2
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).