Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Brest
24.4%
Draw
33.8%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Brest
vs
1.33
Lorient
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).