Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Vizela
22.7%
Draw
31.5%
Portimonense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Vizela
vs
1.37
Portimonense
Markets
BTTS60.4%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-1
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.4%
0-0
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).