Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.5%
Cittadella
26.8%
Draw
53.8%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Cittadella
vs
1.65
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
5.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).