Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.5%
Montpellier
23.0%
Draw
49.5%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Montpellier
vs
1.74
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
9.1%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
4.8%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).