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HHT: 10CSV

21 May 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.5%
Stuttgart
28.5%
Draw
16.9%
Wurzburger Kickers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Stuttgart

vs
0.72

Wurzburger Kickers

Markets

BTTS41.1%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
12.1%
0-0
12.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).