Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Liverpool
25.3%
Draw
29.9%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Liverpool
vs
1.48
Man United
Markets
BTTS66.4%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
0-0
5.0%
3-2
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).