Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.9%
Leganes
35.4%
Draw
29.7%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Leganes
vs
0.74
Burgos
Markets
BTTS29.3%
Over 0.579.3%
Over 1.546.4%
Over 2.520.9%
Over 3.57.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.7%
1-0
17.4%
0-1
15.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
3-0
2.0%
2-2
2.0%
3-1
1.5%
0-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).