Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Man United
28.3%
Draw
25.3%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Man United
vs
1.12
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).