Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
Ceuta
21.8%
Draw
45.6%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Ceuta
vs
1.92
Almeria
Markets
BTTS68.1%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.0%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
7.0%
0-1
5.8%
1-3
5.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).