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26 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.4%
Boreham Wood
24.1%
Draw
15.6%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Boreham Wood

vs
0.83

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS48.3%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.9%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).