Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
Charlton
28.7%
Draw
13.7%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Charlton
vs
0.57
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS33.9%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.4%
0-0
14.4%
2-0
13.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
4-0
2.4%
2-2
2.2%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).