Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Guimaraes
22.0%
Draw
36.3%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Guimaraes
vs
1.61
Estoril
Markets
BTTS65.4%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
0-1
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).