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16 Apr 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.0%
Antwerp
27.1%
Draw
21.9%
Kortrijk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Antwerp

vs
0.92

Kortrijk

Markets

BTTS47.9%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).