Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.3%
Valladolid
16.7%
Draw
74.0%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Valladolid
vs
2.36
Celta
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.9%
0-1
10.7%
0-3
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
1-1
7.9%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
6.0%
0-0
4.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-2
3.3%
1-0
3.1%
0-5
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).