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09 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.4%
Kryvbas
25.9%
Draw
24.7%
Karpaty

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Kryvbas

vs
1.04

Karpaty

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).