Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.7%
York
7.1%
Draw
3.2%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
3.95
York
vs
0.79
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.595.2%
Over 2.585.1%
Over 3.569.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.0%
4-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-1
7.0%
5-0
7.0%
2-0
6.8%
5-1
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
1-0
3.2%
1-1
3.0%
3-2
2.8%
4-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).