Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Carrarese
32.4%
Draw
33.7%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Carrarese
vs
1.06
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.3%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
11.3%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
3-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).