Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.8%
Lecce
26.4%
Draw
15.8%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Lecce
vs
0.76
Livorno
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
12.3%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).