Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.9%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
26.6%
Draw
54.5%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Fortuna Dusseldorf
vs
1.61
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.8%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
1-0
6.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).