Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.7%
Lens
21.2%
Draw
17.1%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Lens
vs
0.88
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.0%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).