Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
Palermo
25.2%
Draw
14.6%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Palermo
vs
0.76
Brescia
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.2%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).