Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Espanol
28.4%
Draw
17.0%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Espanol
vs
0.60
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS33.1%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.530.5%
Over 3.513.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.4%
0-0
14.4%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
0-2
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).