Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Hereford
21.0%
Draw
54.4%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Hereford
vs
2.00
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.3%
0-1
7.8%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
5.1%
0-3
5.0%
2-3
4.1%
0-0
3.5%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).