Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.4%
Rochdale
25.0%
Draw
21.6%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Rochdale
vs
1.07
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).