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27 Sept 2021 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.7%
Apollon
34.9%
Draw
42.5%
Ionikos

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

Apollon

vs
1.06

Ionikos

Markets

BTTS34.1%
Over 0.581.7%
Over 1.553.8%
Over 2.525.9%
Over 3.510.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
18.3%
0-1
17.0%
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-1
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).