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13 Jan 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.8%
Göztepe
33.5%
Draw
15.7%
Kasımpaşa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Göztepe

vs
0.70

Kasımpaşa

Markets

BTTS41.1%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.2%
1-1
15.0%
1-0
14.0%
2-0
12.0%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).