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HHT: 10CSV

10 Mar 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.2%
Reims
22.9%
Draw
14.9%
Ajaccio

Expected Goals (xG)

1.60

Reims

vs
0.61

Ajaccio

Markets

BTTS35.7%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.4%
2-0
14.0%
0-0
10.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
4-0
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
0-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).