Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.9%
Hertha
20.3%
Draw
14.8%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Hertha
vs
1.03
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS58.6%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
1-1
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
2-2
5.0%
0-0
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).