Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.1%
Erzurum BB
36.4%
Draw
34.5%
Alanyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Erzurum BB
vs
1.12
Alanyaspor
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.8%
0-0
15.2%
0-1
9.9%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).