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28 Sept 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.1%
Regensburg
23.4%
Draw
60.5%
Kaiserslautern

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Regensburg

vs
1.95

Kaiserslautern

Markets

BTTS52.4%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
0-2
10.8%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
7.0%
0-0
6.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
1-0
4.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).