Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Nimes
20.6%
Draw
43.5%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Nimes
vs
1.87
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS68.0%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.568.7%
Over 3.547.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
0-1
6.1%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
0-2
5.0%
2-3
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).